The fourth-round match of the group stage of the 2024/25 Champions League between PSG (France) and Atletico Madrid (Spain) will take place on November 6 at the Parc des Princes stadium in Paris. PSG vs Atletico Madrid: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Szymon Marciniak (Poland)
Matches – 8 (International meetings, 2023/24–2024/25);
Yellow/red cards shown – 36;
Average yellow/red cards per match – 4.5;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 25%.
Predicted line-ups for PSG vs Atletico Madrid
PSG (4-3-3): Gianluigi Donnarumma – Achraf Hakimi, Marquinhos, William Saliba, Nuno Mendes – Joao Neves, Fabian Ruiz, Vitinha – Ousmane Dembele, Marco Asensio, Bradley Barcola.
Atletico Madrid (3-5-2): Jan Oblak – Axel Witsel, Nahuel Molina, Reinildo Mandava – Javi Galan, Nahuel Molina, Conor Gallagher, Koke, Pablo Barrios – Julian Alvarez, Antoine Griezmann.
PSG
The Parisians are currently struggling at the start of the Champions League group stage. The team narrowly defeated Girona in the first round (1:0), then lost away to Arsenal (0:2). In their last match, Luis Enrique's charges had to settle for a draw in the home game against PSV (1:1). The club is only in the middle of the tournament table. Also noteworthy is that the French side has failed to score more than one goal in five consecutive matches in this tournament.
Defenders Lucas Hernandez and Presnel Kimpembe, as well as forward Goncalo Ramos, will miss the game due to injuries.
- A maximum of two goals were scored in PSG's last five Champions League games.
- The club conceded first in 6 of the last 7 encounters in this European competition.
- In the last 18 matches in this tournament, the Parisians have only won twice in the first half (10 draws and 6 losses).
Atletico Madrid
The Spaniards had a good start, defeating Leipzig at home (2:1). However, they then suffered two consecutive defeats with an aggregate score of 1:7. Atletico were first thrashed away by Benfica (0:4), and in their last match, they lost at home to Lille (1:3). The last time Atletico lost at their stadium in the Champions League was in November 2021. As a result, Diego Simeone's men are positioned 27th in the tournament table.
Defender Jose Maria Gimenez will miss the game due to suspension.
- Three or more goals were scored in normal time in Atletico's last six matches in this tournament.
- Both teams scored in 5 of the last 6 Atletico games in the Champions League.
- The Spaniards conceded first in 8 of the last 10 away matches in this European competition.
PSG vs Atletico Madrid: Match Prediction
Both teams have been rather disappointing in the group stage of the Champions League so far. To advance to the round of 16 of the tournament, the clubs need to win. This is especially true for the French side, whose remaining matches are much more challenging than those of the Spaniards. PSG still has to face Bayern Munich, Manchester City, and VfB Stuttgart, with only the game against Salzburg looking potentially easy. If Luis Enrique's men do not secure three points in the fourth round, their chances of even making it into the top 24 will be significantly lower.
PSG plays well at home in the Champions League. If the club loses at its home ground, it is usually only to top-tier clubs. Meanwhile, Atletico looks frankly poor away from home. In their last 10 away matches in this tournament, Simeone's charges have managed only one victory (against Feyenoord), drawing twice and suffering seven losses.
My prediction is a
PSG Victory with odds of 1.82.
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